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By Manuel Gottlieb

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13. See Appendix B, series 0037. 14. J. Parry Lewis' "descriptive work" on building cycles was incomplete because it lacked the "model" of an interacting network of fluctuating economies out of whose processes in a disturbed environment long swings are generated. See [167, pp. , 8, 211—232]. 15. Two other simple measures of conformity often used in this study are the mean deviation expressed in units of a year between matching reference and specific turning points and the correlation coefficient.

Movement of farm building as such was not an object of investigation. However, our sources occasionally turned up information bearing on long swings in farm building. Two items of information indicated that at least between 1870 and 1914 long swings in agricultural growth were inverse to those of the nonfarm economy. For the United States this was directly indicated for capital formation and growth in cultivation for agriculture as a whole (Chapter 8, pp. ). The same tendency to inversion was exhibited by marriage rates in predominantly agricultural countries.

7. See particularly Moses Abramovitz [1] and items cited in his bibliography (pp. ) by himself; Blank; Easterlin; Gottlieb: Grebler, Blank, and Winnick; Guttentag; Kuznets; Ulmer: and Wickens. See also the work of Richard Easterlin [78], and Burnham 0. Campbell [50]. 8. The study and interpretation of long swings and business cycles in the United Kingdom have been converted, through the work of A. Cairncross and B. Thomas, into a study of long swings in the Atlantic economy. See Alexander Cairncross [46] and J.

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