By Anja K. Possekel
In 1980 my mom and dad took me to St Lucia for the spring vacations. those vaca tions had - within the feel of the butterfly impact - substantial impact on my additional curriculum. during time I conducted many different trips to the Caribbean. My colleagues even converse of an advancing "Caribbeanisation". This book is the made from lots of people who've supported and followed me in the course of all this time. such a lot of my visits within the Caribbean have been made attainable by means of the DFG (Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft). It was once of significant virtue to my perception into Carib bean concerns that i used to be in a position to perform the DFG-financed learn seasoned ject "Complex source mangement on small Caribbean islands" for 5 years. the ultimate part of my dissertation approximately Montserrat used to be additionally financially supported, this time by way of the neighborhood money of the collage of Hamburg. in the scope of the DFG venture, I stayed on Montserrat for a few The island interested me from my first come upon. this can be in particular months.
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Existing information should be selected and interpreted in order to actively design the future. e. it is fictitious and Imagmary. Uncertainty, therefore, is primarily a subjectively determined human experience. It is a social construct which is affected by the individual and collective processes of our anticipation of the future (Beck 1991; Bayrische Riickversicherung 1987; Hanf 1980). As Rayner (1993) expressed it, uncertainty is a function of how human beings individually and in groups perceive their place in the world and the things that threaten it.
Individual and collective perceptions, decisions and reactions of the people affected form the focal point. Hazard scientist Palm emphasises that hazard research will only be able to offer any help when it does justice to the complexity of the interaction between humans and their environment: " ... we must interpret the relationships between people and their environment as an interplay among the physical setting, the political-economic context, and the sometimes unpredictable influence of agents or individuals.
The resources. 3). The dominance of neo-classical economics caused this division. As explained, it believes in our ability to control the environment and in the predictability of events. Simple cause-andeffect models served as tools. The basic question was always that of an optimised utilisation of resources and the necessary measures. 2 Resources and Uncertainty 29 supplied and at the same time control over the environment maximised. These growth-oriented methods were for a long time unchallenged.